Path Dependence Research

What we model

Markets, fundamentals, shocks.

Three things move price data. The model carries all three.

The forecast

A fan chart, not a point.

The range each market lands in, at the horizons you trade.

The record

When the band says 80%, we publish what it caught.

Every band comes with the share of real moves that landed inside it — live on the demo.

What-ifs

When the data can't answer, a working model.

For scenarios with no precedent: simulate the system, read the range.

How we work

You own what we build.

Built for your system, handed over, kept current.

© 2026 Path Dependence Research LLC · Virginia, USA · phone demo